0x6b0b360072b4187d9cd0ec068a9c7c4d6f4fca40
0x6b0b360072b4187d9cd0ec068a9c7c4d6f4fca40
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$23.12
Total PnL
$-40.02
Realised
$15.49
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- NO
Will Jared Triolo win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?
5 shares @ 87.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$4.63
$0.23
- YES
Will United Russia win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections?
3 shares @ 3.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$2.65
$2.55
- YES
Will United Russia win the next Stavropol Krai Parliament elections?
3 shares @ 3.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$2.59
$2.49
- NO
Will Jim Stagnitta win the 2026 PLL Coach of the Year?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.85
$-0.12
- YES
Will Sentinels Win LCS 2026 Summer Split
5 shares @ 8.3¢·now 36.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.84
$1.43
- YES
Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be greater than 0.1?
6 shares @ 33.3¢·now 26.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Party of Pensioners win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?
8 shares @ 3.6¢·now 17.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.36
$1.07
- YES
Will Disguised Win LCS 2026 Summer Split
5 shares @ 8.3¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.92
$0.50
- YES
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
2 shares @ 9.1¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.85
$0.67
- YES
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
2 shares @ 9.1¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.85
$0.67
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONNovgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner$12.00Jul 28, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?$3.06Jul 28, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Just Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?$1.05Jul 28, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CPRF win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?$5.88Jul 28, 16:52 UTC
- MERGEWill New People win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections?$3.00Jul 28, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections?$2.94Jul 28, 16:52 UTC
- CONVERSIONChuvashia Parliament Election: Party Winner$6.00Jul 28, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CPRF win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections?$2.86Jul 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Just Russia win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections?$2.91Jul 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LDPR win the next Chuvashia Parliament elections?$2.83Jul 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Just Russia win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?$0.81Jul 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Just Russia win the next Tyumen Oblast Parliament elections?$4.96Jul 28, 16:51 UTC
- CONVERSIONNovgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner$14.00Jul 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Just Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?$0.25Jul 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yabloko win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?$1.96Jul 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?$1.96Jul 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?$1.96Jul 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?$1.94Jul 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LDPR win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?$1.96Jul 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Communists of Russia win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?$1.96Jul 28, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.