Internal-Certainty
0x6b0ecc3b87377b4494b4d38c202b2f89cd13d596
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$161.29
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$161.29
$61.29
- YES
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
36332 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
3034 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
1353 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-933.49
- YES
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
472 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-131.44
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
356 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-124.69
- NO
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?
308 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- RUFFY
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy
199 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?
114 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$517.79Oct 30, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$2.69Oct 30, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$0.06Oct 30, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$412.95Oct 30, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMAspinall vs. Gane$84.17Oct 30, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$124.69Oct 21, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?$100.00Oct 19, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAspinall vs. Gane$130.00Oct 19, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?$55.48Sep 27, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?$40.00Sep 20, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?$200.00Sep 20, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$120.48Sep 20, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?$25.00Sep 17, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?$100.00Sep 17, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paxos win the USDH ticker?$300.00Sep 17, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena win the USDH ticker?$305.79Sep 10, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena win the USDH ticker?$245.00Sep 10, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena win the USDH ticker?$245.00Sep 10, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena win the USDH ticker?$98.00Sep 10, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena win the USDH ticker?$264.20Sep 10, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $110.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 6, 16:33 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 10:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.