Muted-Tophat
0x6b0fb8428aa53830852cf2296f89eeefbe921ce7
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$68.05
Total PnL
$-43.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 24?
30 shares @ 65.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$29.77
$10.28
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
9 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.55
$1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 24?
6 shares @ 74.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$6.36
$1.65
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.90
$1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 29)
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$5.80
$0.93
- NO
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 78.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$5.42
$1.18
- NO
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$4.70
$0.80
- YES
Will Trump say "UK" or "United Kingdom" this week? (March 29)
2 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$1.55
$0.42
- YES
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24?
33 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "UK" or "United Kingdom" this week? (March 29)$1.13Mar 24, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 29)$4.87Mar 24, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29)$6.81Mar 24, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24?$0.67Mar 24, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24?$2.45Mar 23, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24?$2.46Mar 23, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24?$1.75Mar 23, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24?$4.20Mar 23, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 25?$5.77Mar 23, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 25?$3.20Mar 23, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$5.48Mar 23, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 24?$8.46Mar 23, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 24?$3.35Mar 23, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 24?$11.03Mar 23, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$2.19Mar 23, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$10.38Mar 23, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 23?$0.00Mar 23, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 23?$0.00Mar 23, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 16-22?$0.00Mar 23, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?$3.51Mar 23, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".