Little-Anguish
0x6b11fb81561815995a6d8ed3b90dd95d3f4838e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$327.03
Total PnL
$-57.09
Realised
$-3.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
131 shares @ 76.5¢·now 85.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$111.16
$11.16
- YES
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
224 shares @ 64.6¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.36
$-57.36
- YES
Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in August?
72 shares @ 34.8¢·now 61.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$44.13
$19.13
- NO
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.50
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
2461 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.85
$-9.15
- YES
Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?
122 shares @ 16.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$7.93
$-12.07
- NO
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
8 shares @ 86.4¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.04
$0.36
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$5.68
$0.68
- YES
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$4.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.86
$-1.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?$5.17Aug 2, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Nicki Minaj in August?$25.81Aug 2, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by July 31?$0.00Aug 1, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by August 31?$1.04Jul 31, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?$100.94Jul 31, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?$33.94Jul 31, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?$10.32Jul 31, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?$1.01Jul 31, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" in August?$5.11Jul 30, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?$10.34Jul 30, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$5.24Jul 28, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$5.22Jul 28, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?$2.00Jul 28, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$5.22Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?$19.00Jul 27, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$6.72Jul 27, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$1.9KJul 25, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$16.61Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$695.43Jul 24, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$228.62Jul 23, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $121.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 22:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 13:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.