Keen-Fallacy
0x6b1312c92bb1730765fd041bbf385ca166c4f311
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$15.73
Total PnL
$-379.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.73
$5.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
7416 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-73.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
1254 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
1145 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
330 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-29.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
158 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-22.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
150 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
128 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-39.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$1.00Mar 10, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 10, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6?$3.14Mar 6, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6?$5.00Mar 6, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$6.46Mar 6, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$22.19Mar 6, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$10.00Mar 6, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$10.00Mar 6, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$9.46Mar 6, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$10.00Mar 6, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$10.00Mar 6, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$10.00Mar 6, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$10.00Mar 6, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.36Mar 6, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.42Mar 6, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.28Mar 6, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.08Mar 6, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.24Mar 6, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.33Mar 6, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 05:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".