Shy-Tuition
0x6b1b4165813561b59a5eb3118dec72459a847e9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-284.04
Realised
$-123.10
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 19?
720 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.44
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 15?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
484 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
393 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 19?
309 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-79.05
- YES
Will Streaks be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
277 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18?
186 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-47.65
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?
152 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July?$14.81Aug 1, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July?$14.80Jul 18, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$103.10Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$103.01Jun 4, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?$3.21Jun 4, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$106.11Jun 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$106.01Jun 1, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?$106.11May 26, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?$106.01May 25, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?$106.21May 23, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00May 22, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00May 22, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?$106.01May 21, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.09May 16, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$105.11May 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$105.01May 13, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$106.21May 13, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.00May 9, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$106.01May 7, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?$8.01May 7, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $64.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.