Harmonious-Broadcast
0x6b1ff9be1871353fd8faa9aa96d680ab9009d9c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$261.88
Total PnL
$-124.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 70.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$112.50
$-97.50
- NO
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 65.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$50.00
$-15.00
- UNDER
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5
50 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$48.33
$2.33
- NO
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$44.75
$-0.75
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
20 shares @ 70.3¢·now 16.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.23
$-10.83
- UNDER
GV CD San José vs. CD Real Tomayapo: O/U 4.5
8 shares @ 78.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$3.07
$-2.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$45.62Jul 3, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLAustralia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5$49.95Jul 3, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5$44.16Jul 3, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5$46.11Jul 3, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$10.00Jul 3, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Any Other Score?$100.00Jul 3, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$95.14Jul 3, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$7.14Jul 3, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5$16.92Jul 2, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5$16.10Jul 2, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5$50.00Jul 1, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$50.00Jul 1, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5$43.18Jul 1, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEngland vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5$48.00Jul 1, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. DR Congo: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$41.71Jul 1, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5$46.11Jul 1, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5$30.00Jul 1, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5$50.00Jun 30, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5$25.91Jun 30, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5$43.67Jun 30, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $56.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 06:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.