0x6b23702cddd4bddbf3303c8af016408315176a3c
0x6b23702cddd4bddbf3303c8af016408315176a3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.82
Total PnL
$-9.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Kristen Bell win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in February 2026?
115 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "China" in Corpus Christi on Friday?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$2.00Mar 3, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristen Bell win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$1.00Mar 1, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$1.00Mar 1, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 1, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.67Mar 1, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Mar 1, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?$1.00Mar 1, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 1, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?$0.91Mar 1, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?$1.00Feb 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Trump" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?$1.00Feb 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$1.00Feb 28, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in February 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" in Corpus Christi on Friday?$1.00Feb 27, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 27, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 21:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.