Nervous-Dispute
0x6b2387bc39740945306a599f07ad6489412fad2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$769.05
Total PnL
$-159.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1022 shares @ 88.9¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$761.39
$-147.69
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.66
$0.30
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
133 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
11 shares @ 74.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?$7.40Jun 7, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.53Jun 7, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$3.32Jun 7, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.37May 28, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.00Mar 16, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?$909.08Feb 8, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$962.99Jan 23, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$963.00Jan 11, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$40.20Jan 11, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$8.00Dec 15, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$40.00Dec 15, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.1KDec 15, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.1KDec 3, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$95.43Dec 3, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$989.55Dec 3, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$60.00Nov 25, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$1.1KNov 25, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$5.08Nov 25, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$168.08Nov 25, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$4.00Nov 14, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $255.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 09:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.