Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-23.73

Realised

$-0.83

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 12

KALMYCHATA
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Kalmychata - Game 1 Winner
1761 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-3.00
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners
220 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 24?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Solana Up or Down - December 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
23 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-6.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
TOWSON TIGERS
Towson Tigers vs. William & Mary Tribe
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
10 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Warriors
6 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.50

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.40Jan 4, 01:42 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Jan 4, 01:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Jan 4, 01:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$5.00Jan 4, 01:24 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$19.14Jan 4, 01:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$3.00Jan 4, 01:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$5.00Jan 4, 01:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Jan 4, 01:16 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.97Jan 4, 01:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.00Jan 4, 01:02 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.05Jan 4, 00:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Jan 4, 00:49 UTC
TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.75Dec 30, 18:13 UTC
TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3)$6.40Dec 30, 18:13 UTC
TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3)$10.00Dec 30, 18:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$5.00Dec 30, 17:45 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$6.25Dec 30, 17:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$4.00Dec 30, 17:36 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$7.68Dec 30, 17:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$6.00Dec 30, 17:14 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry8 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk46 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $4.08
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 30, 01:54 UTC
Last active: Jan 4, 01:42 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 05:37:54 UTC·src:Polymarket Data