Celebrated-Thaw
0x6b29689fb17794205d4b9415b62deca2fc4204f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Sept 27?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $20-25b one day after launch?
133 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will NEOS win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election?
129 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
75 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?
32 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Berachain airdrop by September 30?
20 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?$0.10Oct 8, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $20-25b one day after launch?$0.13Oct 2, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NEOS win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election?$0.13Sep 29, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$0.15Sep 27, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Sept 27?$0.15Sep 27, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBerachain airdrop by September 30?$0.11Sep 27, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.11Sep 27, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.11Sep 13, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$91.91Aug 28, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$92.00Aug 28, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$91.90Aug 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$92.00Aug 28, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$91.90Aug 28, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$92.00Aug 28, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$91.90Aug 28, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$92.00Aug 28, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election?$91.83Aug 28, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election?$92.00Aug 28, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$91.91Aug 28, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$92.00Aug 28, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $58.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 28, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 8, 01:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".