Repentant-Peertopeer
0x6b2fdbf8f56d42132cc4539db57980ae338af7b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
104
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-351.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?
80 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $150 in October?
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on March 30?
57 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
50 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-21.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12AM ET
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$50.00Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$25.38Jun 4, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 1?$5.83Jun 4, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.00Mar 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 1?$1.00Mar 30, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on March 30?$1.00Mar 30, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$3.72Mar 30, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on March 30?$1.00Mar 30, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$2.40Feb 16, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$2.00Feb 16, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.00Feb 16, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Feb 16, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.00Feb 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.00Feb 16, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the third best AI model at the end of November 2025?$5.00Dec 2, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: November$29.61Dec 1, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: November$19.06Nov 26, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: November$7.22Nov 26, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: November$0.67Nov 26, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$26.96Nov 26, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $5.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.