Deserted-Catch
0x6b355d50f134f16610871d6eaaf86536406fdf6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will GRÜNE win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election?
151 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $30-35b one day after launch?
106 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
70 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?
60 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- DETROIT TIGERS
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers
50 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-27.50
- YES
MetaMask airdrop by September 30?
46 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?
44 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$9.90Jun 1, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$9.91Jun 1, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.42Jun 1, 11:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.48May 28, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers$27.87May 28, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?$0.13Oct 8, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $30-35b one day after launch?$0.11Oct 1, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GRÜNE win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election?$0.15Sep 29, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetaMask airdrop by September 30?$0.13Sep 27, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tabata Amaral win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$0.14Sep 27, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?$0.12Sep 27, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.18Sep 27, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.13Sep 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$90.91Aug 29, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$91.00Aug 29, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$90.91Aug 29, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$91.00Aug 29, 02:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $46.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 29, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 13:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.