Fresh-Toothpaste
0x6b35d520369fff1853c24caf440a0af091d8a23c
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$87.84
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
4118 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- WILD
Panthers vs. Wild
3734 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?
3469 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-263.65
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?
1794 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-175.00
- NO
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
845 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-108.29
- NO
Will Powell say "Sorry" during January press conference?
794 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-229.67
- CHIEFS
Texans vs. Chiefs
648 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
553 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-82.42
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?
523 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-18.39
- YES
Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
475 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-52.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Wild$981.72Jan 25, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$623.23Jan 25, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$358.48Jan 25, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Wild$990.43Jan 25, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$68.85Jan 25, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$1000.00Jan 25, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$2.1KJan 25, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$72.25Jan 23, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$47.35Jan 23, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$32.48Jan 23, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$123.24Jan 23, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?$46.71Jan 23, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?$10.00Jan 23, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$446.53Jan 23, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$198.27Jan 23, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$43.50Jan 23, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$43.81Jan 23, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Sorry" during January press conference?$92.25Jan 9, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Median" during January press conference?$44.80Jan 9, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?$120.52Jan 9, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $181.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 17:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 04:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.