Impolite-Survey
0x6b4dab7f8e161210d84cc149c36909837eb701c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
46707 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-760.07
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 3?
9800 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-180.77
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,250 on September 9 at 4PM ET?
9000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before September?
3486 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-110.04
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
514 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?
422 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-21.12
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?
412 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-82.16
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
400 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCabo Verde to score first vs. Spain?$1.03Jun 15, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$67.02Jun 13, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$68.09Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$32.51Jun 12, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$100.83Jun 12, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$16.47Jun 12, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$14.29Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$10.09Jun 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 11.5 Total Corners$10.24Jun 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5$10.23Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$2.57Apr 17, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$45.88Oct 5, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$0.16Oct 5, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$0.16Oct 5, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$0.16Oct 5, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$9.63Oct 5, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 3?$0.50Oct 3, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 3?$0.30Oct 3, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 3?$10.00Oct 2, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 1-2?$4.00Oct 2, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $20.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 14:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.