Visible-Trigger
0x6b5241c6b2e8d7445a4e0905be0a2230b96fa8a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$-13.6K
Realised
$8.6K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- FRANCE
Spread: Spain (-3.5)
4904 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$4.9K
$2.45
- NO
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?
954 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$943.98
$0.77
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
450320 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.4K
- BRAZIL
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
12222 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.5K
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
11003 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?
2000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
1798 shares @ 82.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
1000 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-290.00
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
646 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-77.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$448.19Jul 13, 17:38 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.47Jul 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$100.89Jul 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$20.97Jul 13, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?$799.55Jul 13, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$79.91Jul 13, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$524.13Jul 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$330.33Jul 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: England (-4.5)$800.60Jul 13, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$445.86Jul 13, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$1.8KJul 13, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: England (-5.5)$2.6KJul 13, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Argentina (-5.5)$814.73Jul 13, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Argentina (-4.5)$379.36Jul 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Argentina (-4.5)$0.72Jul 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?$144.20Jul 12, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$360.89Jul 12, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$361.19Jul 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-3.5)$710.87Jul 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-4.5)$11.88Jul 12, 15:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.7K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jul 12, 08:20 UTC → Jul 12, 08:12 UTC
- BUYExact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?$5.7K@99¢Jul 12, 08:12 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$5.7K
1 trades
30d volume
$5.7K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?
$5.7K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $878.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 17:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.