Damaged-Readiness
0x6b55e618832f709b95a8219a0806f7bfe27389ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.15
Total PnL
$-158.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.15
$-20.85
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in October?
148 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
91 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
72 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
59 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?$71.43Dec 31, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$83.33Dec 31, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$21.00Oct 19, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$46.00Oct 18, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$5.00Oct 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$13.00Oct 13, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in October?$40.00Oct 11, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?$5.00Oct 11, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?$4.00Oct 11, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$20.00Oct 11, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$2.80Oct 11, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$1.44Aug 13, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$8.04Aug 13, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$3.96Jun 14, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$0.08Apr 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$0.20Apr 22, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$0.29Apr 22, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$25.00Apr 22, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$30.00Apr 21, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $39.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 19:28 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.