Modern-Topsail
0x6b57a1a10595028dc07cc7ec42311f56a90d02ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$34.38
Total PnL
$-576.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
125 shares @ 32.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.38
$-5.63
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 1PM ET
800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
690 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-256.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
391 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-132.91
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
134 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
125 shares @ 73.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-91.55
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
71 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
21 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-12.67
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
10 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$12.67Jan 5, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$132.91Jan 5, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$91.55Jan 5, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$234.33Jan 5, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$100.00Jan 5, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$18.75Jan 4, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$61.54Jan 4, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$22.50Jan 4, 15:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Dec 17, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$158.57Dec 16, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$97.58Dec 16, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Dec 16, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 16, 10AM ET$0.00Dec 16, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10AM ET$0.00Dec 16, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Dec 16, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 16, 11AM ET$0.00Dec 16, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11AM ET$0.00Dec 16, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 16, 10AM ET$0.00Dec 16, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10AM ET$0.00Dec 16, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Dec 16, 19:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $23.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 13:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.