Anguished-Mistake
0x6b604862b9758e194f7f6fa77764c77f7d5e4007
Quality score
43/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$18.72
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-119.88
Win rate
8%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
16 shares @ 25.0¢·now 36.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.88
$1.88
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
29 shares @ 17.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 18.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17 shares @ 11.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
19 shares @ 10.5¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$-1.29
- YES
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.71
$-2.29
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
3472 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
651 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-394.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
299 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-127.66
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0020h ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.062d ago
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?$1.182d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$5.244d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$14.666d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$14.116d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.787d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$11.337d ago
- YIELD$0.017d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$10.807d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- YIELD$0.019d ago
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "War" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.0610d ago
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.0810d ago
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.2710d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $8.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13d ago
- Last active
- 20h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.