Anguished-Mistake
0x6b604862b9758e194f7f6fa77764c77f7d5e4007
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$12.51
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-119.88
Win rate
8%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 18.1¢·now 22.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.07
$1.07
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
29 shares @ 17.2¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17 shares @ 11.8¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.50
$0.50
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
19 shares @ 10.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-1.50
- YES
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.28
$-2.72
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
3472 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
651 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-394.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
299 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-127.66
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?
273 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.03Jun 13, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$5.45Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$4.17Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$4.55Jun 12, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?$4.05Jun 12, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$2.14Jun 12, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$2.28Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.03Jun 12, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$2.03Jun 12, 06:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$3.05Jun 11, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$3.04Jun 11, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?$2.14Jun 11, 06:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $7.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.