Worried-Parenthesis
0x6b625046034b1ec184d74edb013b5a40d23bad6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$11.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
2454 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1393 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-260.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
1132 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-108.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
1061 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-56.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
211 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-89.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
133 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
37 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
37 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$3.32Nov 6, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$3.32Nov 6, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$2.56Nov 6, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$2.56Nov 6, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$2.56Nov 6, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.02Nov 5, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.40Nov 5, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.26Nov 5, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$488.83Nov 3, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$260.00Nov 3, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$51.74Nov 3, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$43.95Nov 3, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$12.66Nov 3, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$497.08Nov 3, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$140.00Nov 3, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$283.40Nov 3, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$55.38Nov 3, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$268.00Nov 3, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$323.38Nov 3, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$107.61Nov 2, 07:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $132.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 11:06 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.