Nocturnal-Counterforce
0x6b6394c5b5153716690fffbcfba102b1a4f455fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.55
Total PnL
$-174.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?
300 shares @ 4.3¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.00
$-9.90
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
70 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.38
$-16.72
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?
170 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.17
$-31.13
- YES
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
7000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Tiffany Nicole Ervin win Survivor Season 50?
454 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
286 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.01
- YES
Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
253 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-21.76
- YES
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
224 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-19.04
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
212 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.42
- YES
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?
136 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$40.00Jun 2, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$57.51Jun 1, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$37.81Jun 1, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?$0.12May 31, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?$1.46May 31, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?$1.85May 31, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?$2.88May 31, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?$1.29May 31, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?$0.57May 31, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?$0.43May 31, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$17.62May 31, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?$4.30May 31, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$32.32May 31, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$6.08May 31, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$5.84May 31, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.05May 31, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$0.55May 31, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$10.87May 31, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$4.23May 31, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$22.05May 31, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $9.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 18:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.