Inconsequential-Plaster-Wind
0x6b64a086f904609ca2fac4422be593a84bb8163e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-245.31
Realised
$-7.35
Win rate
0%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 1?
926 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?
919 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-16.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 5?
295 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 15?
188 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 15?
92 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 5?
61 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 4?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 1?
49 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 14?
47 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 15?
45 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5?$3.70Aug 6, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5?$2.03Aug 6, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5?$1.82Aug 5, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 5?$2.05Aug 5, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5?$2.07Aug 5, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 5?$1.83Aug 5, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 5?$20.93Aug 5, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4?$4.25Aug 4, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4?$10.83Aug 4, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4?$13.61Aug 4, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 4?$3.00Aug 3, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4?$3.13Aug 3, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4?$3.08Aug 3, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 4?$3.11Aug 3, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4?$3.11Aug 3, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4?$2.05Aug 3, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 4?$3.11Aug 3, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4?$3.11Aug 3, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 4?$5.14Aug 3, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 4?$2.07Aug 3, 22:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
34 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 04:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.