Wrong-State
0x6b6f202d235f29b20793b31d0fc8719a1769a587
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$126.44
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
20871 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-225.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
1872 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
1174 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-395.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
1058 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-201.03
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
672 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
582 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-270.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
433 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
364 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-27.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5PM ET$0.00Mar 27, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$46.14Mar 19, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$10.00Mar 19, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$150.00Mar 18, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$30.00Mar 18, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$40.00Mar 18, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?$30.00Mar 18, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$15.00Mar 18, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$50.00Mar 18, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$20.00Mar 18, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$30.00Mar 18, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$30.00Mar 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$30.00Mar 17, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$42.65Mar 17, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$43.31Mar 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$77.30Mar 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$150.65Mar 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?$20.00Mar 17, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$291.20Mar 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$300.00Mar 16, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $61.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 19:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".