0x6b6f2ffd3b9b914128d687ab66b0f952aa1ad87e
0x6b6f2ffd3b9b914128d687ab66b0f952aa1ad87e
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$240.33
Total PnL
$40.59
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 Week of July 20 2026?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$31.25
$21.25
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of July 20 2026?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$23.65
$13.65
- NO
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 20 2026?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$20.11
$10.11
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 20 2026?
23 shares @ 38.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$17.15
$8.28
- NO
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of July 20 2026?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$16.61
$6.61
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of July 20 2026?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$14.53
$4.53
- NO
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 24?
16 shares @ 82.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$13.95
$0.95
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?
16 shares @ 82.2¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$13.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of July 20 2026?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$11.55
$1.55
- NO
Will Simu Liu appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?
22 shares @ 59.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$10.36
$-2.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?$13.09Jul 21, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on July 21?$13.89Jul 21, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $172.50 Week of July 20 2026?$0.00Jul 21, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on July 21?$10.11Jul 20, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?$13.08Jul 20, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 22?$0.28Jul 20, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 in July?$10.17Jul 20, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $172.50 Week of July 20 2026?$10.15Jul 20, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $141 Week of July 20 2026?$10.09Jul 20, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of July 20 2026?$10.29Jul 20, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 Week of July 20 2026?$10.29Jul 20, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of July 20 2026?$10.19Jul 20, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 20 2026?$10.22Jul 20, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of July 20 2026?$10.18Jul 20, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of July 20 2026?$10.30Jul 20, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Defend" during House of the Dragon E5 S3?$15.12Jul 20, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 20 2026?$9.09Jul 20, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E5 S3?$17.33Jul 20, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "King" 10+ times during House of the Dragon E5 S3?$16.25Jul 20, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLDatabricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?$0.21Jul 20, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 00:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.