Expert-Stupidity
0x6b711aef8bb62e1e8b6b4f304ea5e83e5f294664
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.71
Total PnL
$-274.04
Realised
$25.20
Win rate
89%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15?
3 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.69
$0.46
- KT ROLSTER CHALLENGERS
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifier
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.02
$0.22
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
141 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
103 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
53 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
52 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
43 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$2.36Jun 15, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffs$1.30Jun 15, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifier$1.81Jun 15, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15?$2.25Jun 15, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$1.66Jun 15, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies$1.56Jun 15, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2$1.69Jun 15, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$2.11Jun 15, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.56Jun 15, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies$1.50May 31, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$2.00May 31, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2$1.01May 31, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMITF Kutaisi: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Kevin Edengren$1.20May 31, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 22?$1.26May 31, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kutaisi: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Kevin Edengren$1.01May 22, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.03May 22, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A$1.16May 22, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A$1.00May 21, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.50May 21, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 22?$1.25May 21, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.