Variable-Machinery
0x6b7f45469bf4143462f6f0dd75276d8a01d83cdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Rambo" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?
572 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.22
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
30 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
13 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.57
- NO
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k by tomorrow?
1 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2024$0.00
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$2.57Dec 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.97Dec 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 9, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rambo" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$1.00Dec 8, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rambo" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$0.07Dec 8, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.58Dec 8, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rambo" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$1.15Dec 5, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$4.45Dec 5, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?$5.68Dec 5, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$0.00Dec 5, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.06Dec 5, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$3.00Dec 5, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$4.06Dec 5, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang flip AI for Time Person of the Year by Friday?$3.94Dec 5, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$4.00Dec 5, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$7.87Dec 5, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$7.53Dec 2, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.14Dec 2, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip below $100k by tomorrow?$0.42Dec 18, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana above $225 on December 20?$0.42Dec 18, 21:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 23:41 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".