Humongous-Custody
0x6b872a442e114752b74188797e4f41364010bc0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-323.29
Realised
$-45.62
Win rate
0%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
1163 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-191.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 7?
398 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 8?
345 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?
289 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 8?
242 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 8?
241 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 9?
210 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 9?$1.07Jun 9, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?$1.07Jun 9, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 9?$1.07Jun 8, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 8?$1.06Jun 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 8?$1.05Jun 8, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 8?$1.05Jun 8, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 8?$1.05Jun 8, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 8?$1.05Jun 8, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 8?$1.05Jun 8, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 8?$1.05Jun 8, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on June 9?$2.10Jun 8, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 9?$1.05Jun 8, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
30 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.