Glistening-Airship
0x6b9281d32cc7fc7aba2283bb4aab0ee4e255532c
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$55.86
Total PnL
$-7.67
Realised
$-4.53
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$13.51
$8.51
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 73.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$8.15
$2.15
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.97
$-2.04
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 83.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.18
$1.18
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.26
$5.26
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.05
$1.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.96
$-3.04
- BRONCOS
Bills vs. Broncos
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Leavitt say "Minnesota" or "Walz" during the next White House press briefing?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 23, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 22, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 21, 00:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 19, 00:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 17, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 16, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 15, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 14, 00:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 13, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 12, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 11, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 10, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 9, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 7, 00:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 6, 00:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.