Trusty-Compassionate-Plate
0x6b9873e86aa51f79bce5485a20b6b48bed22925e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-829.59
Realised
$-11.72
Win rate
63%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 15?
1500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 15?
1100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 28?
564 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on May 28?
455 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 28?
257 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-34.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 1?
246 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7?
197 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 12?
170 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-47.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or higher on May 7?
134 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-17.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 28?
126 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 28?$18.96May 28, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 28?$1.78May 28, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 28?$6.24May 28, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 28?$22.27May 28, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 28?$27.54May 28, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 28?$0.19May 28, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 28?$0.19May 28, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 28?$2.46May 28, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 28?$2.46May 28, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on May 28?$0.09May 28, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 28?$2.17May 28, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 28?$17.45May 28, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 28?$21.38May 28, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 28?$4.61May 28, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 28?$5.16May 28, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 28?$7.92May 28, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on May 28?$2.84May 28, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 28?$2.03May 28, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 28?$6.49May 28, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?$1.07May 28, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 04:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.