Trusty-Compassionate-Plate
0x6b9873e86aa51f79bce5485a20b6b48bed22925e
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
186
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-78.97
Win rate
16%
128 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 9?
2145 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on August 12?
1877 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 10?
1813 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 15?
1500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C or higher on August 11?
1169 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 15?
1100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on August 11?
1078 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C or higher on August 3?
1013 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on August 11?
949 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on August 4?
778 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?$5.19Aug 13, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 13?$5.20Aug 13, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on August 13?$5.25Aug 13, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on August 13?$5.25Aug 13, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on August 13?$5.25Aug 13, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 13?$5.18Aug 13, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 13?$5.24Aug 13, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on August 12?$5.25Aug 12, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?$5.24Aug 12, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 12?$5.25Aug 12, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?$4.87Aug 12, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?$6.31Aug 12, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?$10.59Aug 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?$5.03Aug 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 12?$10.80Aug 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 12?$5.21Aug 12, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 12?$5.21Aug 12, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 12?$5.18Aug 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 11?$5.22Aug 11, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 11?$5.12Aug 11, 04:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
16% win rate over 128 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
128 closed markets, 16% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 01:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 128 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.