Yearly-Delay
0x6bb9b94236e10eaafe0b25afcc46d599be3e74bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.6K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- SENATORS
Stars vs. Senators
12191 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.6K
- ALCARAZ
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
6579 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
6047 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-29.99
- DELLA MADDALENA
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
5047 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- LOUISVILLE
Clemson vs. Louisville
2711 shares @ 73.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
1905 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-947.48
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
1739 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-17?
1691 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.91
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?
1351 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
914 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-274.15
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.46Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$453.51Jun 29, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$258.62Jun 27, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-26?$218.86Jun 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$139.41Jun 26, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$151.89Jun 26, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$115.69Jun 26, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$169.12Jun 26, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$10.02Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$100.15Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$403.55Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$238.10Jun 25, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar win on 2026-06-24?$116.28Jun 24, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-24?$136.99Jun 24, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$200.96Jun 24, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-24?$100.42Jun 24, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-24?$100.81Jun 24, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$240.96Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.66Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$201.20Jun 22, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $212.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.