Frequent-Polarisation
0x6bc27c09d68b5f946f91c8105294e73a62c86981
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$23.43
Total PnL
$0.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
8 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.32
$0.09
- NO
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.33
$0.00
- NO
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$1.22
$0.02
- NO
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 92.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.22
$0.10
- NO
Will Tyus Jones lead the NBA in Assists?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.05
- NO
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.03
- NO
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$1.17
$0.02
- NO
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.06
- NO
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$8.23Oct 3, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta win Eurovision 2025?$5.03May 19, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Eurovision 2025?$1.20Apr 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Eurovision 2025?$1.15Apr 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2025?$1.02Apr 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2025?$1.12Apr 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$1.09Apr 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2025?$5.00Apr 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.09Apr 12, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.15Apr 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.04Apr 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.09Apr 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.13Apr 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.12Apr 12, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Apr 12, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$1.01Apr 12, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?$1.10Apr 12, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on February 28?$1.10Apr 12, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill StepFun have the top AI model on February 28?$1.10Apr 12, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?$1.12Apr 12, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $470.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 3, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".