Scented-Questioner
0x6bc37f1b519a0b777ac2e562741a758ffd804972
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-94.23
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 11?
81 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 13?
78 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 2?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 31?
77 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
77 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-26.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 4?
77 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
75 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11?
70 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-34.20
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 31?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.10Jul 21, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.28Jul 21, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.05Jul 21, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.12Jul 21, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.25Jul 21, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.23Jul 21, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.16Jul 21, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.05Jul 21, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.00Jul 21, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.82Jul 21, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.03Jul 21, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.