Selfish-Disco
0x6bc5d4869bc65e55eec9a1e46d69f2edeb6e33d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-874.58
Realised
$-65.50
Win rate
75%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 11?
543 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 19?
530 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-23.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 28?
518 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-29.55
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.51
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 7?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 13?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 6?
300 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 11?
298 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- YES
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 3 Jordan?
250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 28?
210 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-35.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 30?$4.97Jul 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 30?$2.17Jul 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?$39.46Jul 29, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?$4.99Jul 29, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?$4.99Jul 29, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?$47.50Jul 29, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?$27.54Jul 29, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?$999.00Jul 29, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?$997.00Jul 29, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?$1.1KJul 29, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?$2.20Jul 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?$3.22Jul 29, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?$13.18Jul 29, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29?$14.25Jul 29, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29?$6.29Jul 29, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?$32.55Jul 29, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?$297.00Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?$495.00Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?$297.60Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29?$14.14Jul 29, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
59 closed markets, 75% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $143.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.