Bold-Faucet
0x6bd073cbdcc38cb3b02c27ec6ec3ab41463ceda6
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$1.66
Total PnL
$-27.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.66
$0.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 12?
274 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 12?
159 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 12?
148 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 12?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 7?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on May 12?
27 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
18 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 17?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 17?$1.05May 16, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.04May 15, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.96May 13, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.04May 13, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.61May 13, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.03May 13, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.05May 13, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$2.00May 13, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.04May 13, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.03May 13, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.99May 13, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.39May 13, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.02May 13, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.00May 13, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.01May 13, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.01May 13, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.04May 13, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$3.09May 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.00May 13, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.00May 13, 03:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.