Alarmed-Conviction
0x6bd109b91ee304ab60a29f513f4d06ee53e31f72
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$106.48
Total PnL
$-47.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 17 above $450?
11 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$11.05
$0.06
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 17 above $255?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$11.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Israel strike 4 or more countries in November 2025?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$6.02
$0.02
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 17 above $155?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will between 12 and 15 named storms occur in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will "Wicked: For Good" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$5.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?$4.00Nov 19, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 17 above $255?$6.00Nov 19, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 17 above $50?$5.00Nov 19, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$5.00Nov 19, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$550 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$3.00Nov 19, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?$5.00Nov 19, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.00Nov 19, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of November 17 above $540?$4.00Nov 19, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 17 above $255?$5.00Nov 19, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 17 above $450?$6.00Nov 19, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 17 above $155?$5.00Nov 19, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 17 above $450?$5.00Nov 19, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 17 above $11?$4.00Nov 19, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 17 above $240?$5.00Nov 19, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at <$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$4.00Nov 19, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) close at <$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$5.00Nov 19, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$4.00Nov 19, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 4 or more countries in November 2025?$6.00Nov 19, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?$5.00Nov 19, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$5.00Nov 19, 08:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $29.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".