Monumental-Kennel
0x6bdbac56f2aa62a0a7c00daba80e370fcaa081e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$28.07
Total PnL
$-330.81
Realised
$-3.84
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 10, 2026?
63 shares @ 39.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$28.07
$3.47
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
339 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-125.54
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
88 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?
65 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?
62 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 15, 2026?
54 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.30
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 15, 2026?
50 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 29, 2026?
45 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on April 25?
37 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on April 23?
36 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 10, 2026?$25.20Jul 5, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$5.59Jul 3, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$6.11Jul 3, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?$25.77May 26, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?$29.59May 24, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?$9.36May 24, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 29, 2026?$20.44May 24, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?$14.47May 20, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?$2.34May 20, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?$3.86May 18, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$4.23May 18, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?$4.67May 18, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?$57.13May 16, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?$10.82May 12, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$10.83May 12, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?$9.69May 12, 08:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 15, 2026?$10.07May 10, 09:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $10.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.