Mellow-Utensil
0x6be966b6aca3f7104e36ca1f3b363ce62300b918
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-86.13
Realised
$-9.34
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
54 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
28 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
15 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?$0.05Jul 19, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$7.26Jul 19, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$0.35Jul 14, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.06Jul 12, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$0.56Jul 10, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$7.12Jul 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$3.18Jul 10, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$5.14Jul 10, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$5.22Jul 10, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$14.92Jul 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$10.37Jul 10, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners AND Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?$0.27Jul 6, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.09Jun 16, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$10.35Jun 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6AM ET$4.60Jun 16, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6AM ET$5.16Jun 16, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$13.25Jun 16, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$7.06Jun 16, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.32Jun 16, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.24Jun 16, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.