Careless-Sample
0x6bea2eb252ddaebce5fa08433a7eb2508280bf97
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$108.43
Total PnL
$-34.24
Realised
$4.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
807 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.7¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$62.13
$-0.53
- YES
Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.40
$-0.30
- NO
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$4.22
$1.07
- NO
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 37.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$3.62
$1.41
- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$3.52
$0.02
- YES
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$3.38
$0.07
- NO
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$3.17
$-0.17
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$3.13
$0.17
- YES
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.61
$0.63
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.22
$-0.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.58Jun 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.57Jun 11, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.84Jun 11, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.99Jun 11, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.53Jun 11, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02Jun 11, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.03Jun 11, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.38Jun 11, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.21Jun 11, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.33Jun 11, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.04Jun 11, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.84Jun 11, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.26Jun 11, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.18Jun 11, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.98Jun 11, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.21Jun 11, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?$1.52Jun 1, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?$0.80Jun 1, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00May 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.59May 30, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.