Motionless-Waffle-Network
0x6beaad14e7b9c84fbc77dfffa96cbf8c8eda224d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$283.35
Total PnL
$44.22
Realised
$7.19
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
100 shares @ 25.2¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$37.00
$11.80
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?
85 shares @ 28.1¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$36.33
$12.27
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?
100 shares @ 27.6¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$35.50
$7.90
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?
40 shares @ 35.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$31.00
$16.80
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?
40 shares @ 34.2¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$27.00
$13.30
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?
61 shares @ 24.5¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$23.66
$8.82
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
60 shares @ 23.2¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$22.20
$8.30
- YES
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?
68 shares @ 16.1¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.12
$9.12
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?
30 shares @ 31.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$19.95
$10.65
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
166 shares @ 7.4¢·now 4.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$6.89
$-5.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?$25.00Jul 22, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$3.75Jul 21, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$7.70Jul 21, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$2.45Jul 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$1.21Jul 21, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$2.00Jul 21, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$2.50Jul 21, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$2.88Jul 21, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$4.00Jul 21, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?$3.20Jul 21, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?$6.20Jul 21, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$1.44Jul 21, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$7.17Jul 21, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$3.95Jul 21, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?$0.60Jul 21, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$5.94Jul 21, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?$2.40Jul 21, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$3.40Jul 20, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$0.00Jul 20, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$2.02Jul 20, 19:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 01:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.