Dishonest-Happening
0x6bebf5b528c087b1453e795f6e69fac61fc40453
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$209.35
Win rate
67%
132 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
599 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-324.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
463 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-125.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
324 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-38.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
297 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
252 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-43.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
247 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-96.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
231 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
210 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-22.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
203 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-43.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
191 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$0.16Jul 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$0.16Jul 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.59Jul 28, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.16Jul 28, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.53Jul 28, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.67Jul 28, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.65Jul 28, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.53Jul 28, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.53Jul 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.11Jul 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.47Jul 28, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.63Jul 28, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.06Jul 28, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$2.22Jul 28, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.97Jul 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.78Jul 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$0.31Jul 28, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$0.50Jul 28, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$0.47Jul 28, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$0.62Jul 28, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 132 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
132 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 21:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 132 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.