Fitting-Bias
0x6bf2e10b7f024e9a4a8cbf8f8c4cbd8aebf576b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$10.67
Total PnL
$-58.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 15.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.89
$-1.11
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 30.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.81
$-2.19
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Italy win the 2024 Euros?
59 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will England win the 2024 Euros?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $68,000 on May 31?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will France win the 2024 Euros?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".