Wary-Ketch
0x6bfc7ce68ed307449f4f062b0807eda8472726ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$186.93
Total PnL
$-73.94
Realised
$8.04
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
51 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$49.95
$-0.20
- NO
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
50 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$47.63
$-0.07
- NO
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
50 shares @ 92.9¢·now 91.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.06
$-0.80
- NO
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
33 shares @ 85.8¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.91
$0.37
- YES
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.60
$-2.80
- YES
Will Nomar Garciaparra be the next Red Sox manager?
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Feb 1, 2027$0.26
$0.06
- YES
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
165 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.08
- YES
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
101 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.15
$-0.05
- YES
Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
3 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.07
$-0.00
- YES
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.05
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$35.18Jun 13, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$46.45Jun 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$2.62Jun 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$47.70Jun 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$49.30Jun 12, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$1.09Jun 12, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$2.15Jun 12, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$41.27Jun 12, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$40.86Jun 12, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?$16.40Jun 12, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$49.35Jun 12, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$49.35Jun 12, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$37.43Jun 12, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$36.60Jun 12, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.96Jun 12, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$23.37Jun 12, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$36.41Jun 11, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$38.75Jun 11, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$49.25Jun 11, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?$0.33Jun 11, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $19.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.