Puny-Convection
0x6c010fb1c19d4a595010e3a5b2a42d7439898750
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$3.45
Total PnL
$-171.62
Realised
$16.22
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
9 shares @ 20.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.83
$-0.11
- YES
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
30 shares @ 6.7¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.99
$-1.01
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.45
- YES
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
501 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
213 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?
60 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will Melissa make landfall at category 3?
55 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$0.00Feb 10, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$0.33Jan 11, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.17Jan 5, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$1.32Jan 5, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 3, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$1.12Jan 2, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 2, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$1.00Jan 2, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$1.19Jan 2, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$3.50Jan 2, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$1.00Jan 2, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?$0.86Jan 2, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$13.40Jan 2, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?$1.00Jan 2, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?$0.24Jan 2, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?$0.00Jan 1, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill TikTok be banned in 2025?$0.00Jan 1, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.00Jan 1, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?$0.00Jan 1, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?$5.00Jan 1, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 02:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".