Pale-Rainmaker
0x6c0311b2df272974990b021fc2c1724ca06f5fa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
145
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-334.87
Realised
$-5.40
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 14?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 19?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $10 on June 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
419 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 June 8-14?
412 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.03Jul 10, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.14Jul 10, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.01Jul 10, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.02Jul 10, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.02Jul 10, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.01Jul 10, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.08Jul 10, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.56Jul 10, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.11Jul 10, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.03Jul 10, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.00Jul 10, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.01Jul 10, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jul 10, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.56Jul 10, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.64Jul 10, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.03Jul 10, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.03Jul 10, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Jul 10, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Jul 10, 19:58 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.88Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 20:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.