Measly-Blade
0x6c07cb979a9c323cce525673848f4c247c9f11a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.89
Total PnL
$0.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.31
$0.31
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$0.14
- YES
Rainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.02May 14, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 6, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.06Jan 15, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.14Jan 15, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$2.06Jan 15, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$2.00Jan 15, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$2.00Nov 25, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$2.00Oct 16, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$1.00Oct 16, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?$1.00Oct 16, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out before October?$1.00Oct 16, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?$1.00Oct 16, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3200 in June?$1.01Oct 16, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in May?$1.51Oct 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before October?$1.00Sep 24, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.00Sep 24, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?$1.00Sep 10, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3200 in June?$1.00Jun 23, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$0.21May 22, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2600 in April?$1.00May 22, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $0.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 02:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.