Hot-Con
0x6c0a7716f77fcfcfa9785389ec9df173abf1c1d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$987.97
Total PnL
$-36.3K
Realised
$-474.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- OVER
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$495.00
$-5.00
- OVER
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5
800 shares @ 64.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$492.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
215 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.97
$-0.97
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 29?
77497 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
10857 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-357.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 31?
10470 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-88.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
8688 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?
7874 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 1?
7559 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-80.64
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 2?
7200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-46.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5$507.50May 16, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5$512.00May 16, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5$709.27May 16, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5$1.8KMay 16, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5$48.40May 16, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5$62.07May 16, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5$239.18May 16, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5$53.08May 16, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5$4.10May 16, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5$88.56May 16, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLFC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5$181.44May 16, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5$773.39May 16, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5$5.07May 16, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 5.5$100.00May 16, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5$355.95May 16, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5$91.35May 16, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.93May 13, 19:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.03May 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$21.40May 12, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$55.09May 12, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $130.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".