Aggravating-Treaty
0x6c2860bc6483d1429a9d56e96751d167b00d40e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$103.41
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$51.71
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
48 shares @ 94.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$45.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
36 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$29.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$19.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.46
$-0.54
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
3299 shares @ 77.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?
1103 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
896 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 26?
888 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
615 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$45.08Jun 14, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$30.15Jun 14, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$5.15Jun 14, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$5.14Jun 14, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$20.44Jun 14, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$10.13Jun 14, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$27.03Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$28.99Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$10.19Jun 11, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$20.19Jun 11, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10?$92.22May 3, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 10?$89.65Apr 10, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?$89.66Apr 10, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?$86.99Apr 7, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?$86.99Apr 7, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?$66.94Apr 2, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 31?$66.94Apr 2, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 31?$61.09Mar 31, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30?$61.09Mar 31, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30?$48.55Mar 30, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $199.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 13:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.