Boiling-Dollop
0x6c2a2a116ffb4f8b20b0953727630afafd546a0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$120.88
Total PnL
$-96.82
Realised
$-2.54
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
84 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$83.46
$0.38
- NO
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
18 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.67
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?
16 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$16.40
$4.43
- NO
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.35
$-0.01
- NO
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?
117 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-58.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 3?
81 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $16.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.