0x6c2d505e186e49c272de011e4c0bc02318ae5882
0x6c2d505e186e49c272de011e4c0bc02318ae5882
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$6.80
Total PnL
$-229.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.62
$-2.38
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.18
$-1.82
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
2755 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12PM ET
2450 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
2243 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2AM ET
508 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
246 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
212 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 9?
138 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$5.00Mar 27, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on March 26?$5.05Mar 26, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 27?$3.90Mar 26, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 29?$3.76Mar 25, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 25?$6.00Mar 24, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on March 25?$6.50Mar 24, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on March 26?$5.00Mar 23, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 23?$0.14Mar 23, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 23?$2.07Mar 23, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 23?$1.20Mar 23, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 23?$2.58Mar 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?$5.00Mar 23, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 26?$6.00Mar 23, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 23?$5.50Mar 23, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 26?$6.00Mar 22, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on March 22?$9.93Mar 22, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 22?$12.26Mar 22, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 22?$1.15Mar 22, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 22?$8.43Mar 22, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 23?$3.60Mar 22, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".