Another-Toast
0x6c33a63feee17c6af49f75da30114c1866d857d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$6.60
Total PnL
$-75.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on November 6?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$2.36
$0.00
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
2 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.77
$0.07
- NO
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$1.31
$0.00
- NO
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$1.15
$0.00
- YES
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
270 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-75.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on November 6?$2.36Nov 5, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$54.21Oct 26, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$1.94Oct 26, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$19.44Oct 26, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.22Oct 26, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 15?$76.74Oct 26, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 15?$76.66Oct 15, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$76.66Oct 15, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$52.28Oct 10, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?$1.26Oct 10, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the second best AI model on September 30?$51.02Oct 10, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second best AI model on September 30?$50.97Sep 30, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$22.2KSep 30, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$22.2KSep 30, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$22.0KSep 30, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.21Sep 30, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$5.11Sep 30, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.75Sep 30, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$206.99Sep 30, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$11.0KSep 30, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 5, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 14:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.